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Dubai property prices held steady through a slower 2026

Dubai Land Department sales data · Q1 2024 to Q3 2026

Dubai saw a wave of regional uncertainty from 28 February 2026, when the Iran-US war began, and buyer activity cooled in response. But the number that matters most for anyone holding or buying property — price per square foot — barely moved. The median is down just 1.8% from its Q4 2025 peak, and still 6.5% higher than a year earlier. Deal activity slowed as buyers paused to watch events unfold, not because values gave way.

Median AED/sq ft, Q2 2026 vs Q4 2025 peak−1.8%1,715 vs 1,746 peak — essentially flat
Median AED/sq ft, Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025+6.5%1,715 vs 1,611 a year earlier
Sales value, Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025−40.5%AED 110.4 bn vs AED 185.4 bn
Deal volume, Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025−28.2%38,257 vs 53,318 deals

What held up

Price per square foot barely moved

Through a sharp pullback in deal-making, the all-property median price per square foot stayed within 2% of its all-time Q4 2025 peak throughout the period on this page, and is still up year-on-year in every quarter shown. That is the clearest sign owners did not need to discount to sell.

Fewer deals, not falling values

The drop was concentrated in how many people transacted, not what sellers were getting for their property. Buyers who stayed in the market, or who bought in Q2 and Q3 2026, paid prices within a narrow band of the market's recent highs.

A pullback from a record, not a collapse

Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 were the two strongest quarters in this entire dataset, worth a combined AED 363 bn. Even the quietest quarter since, Q2 2026, still landed within the range of a normal 2024 quarter (AED 110-148 bn) — a cooling-off, not new territory for the market.

Quarterly trend

2024-early 2026 Since late Feb 2026 Q3 2026 provisional

Total sales value (AED bn)

All property types, including plots.

Number of sales transactions

All property types, including plots.

Median price per sq ft (AED)

All-property median and apartment median. Q3 2026 all-property figure is the July DLD median.

Quarterly ledger

QuarterTransactionsValue (AED bn)Median AED/sqftApt AED/sqftVolume YoYValue YoYPSF YoY

How the year unfolded

A record start to the year

January and February 2026 were record months, worth AED 71.7 bn and AED 60.8 bn, carrying Q1 to a record AED 175.9 bn. Momentum was strong heading into the quarter even as events in late February began to weigh on sentiment.

Buyers paused in Q2

Value eased to AED 110.4 bn and volume to 38,257 deals as buyers took a wait-and-see approach. Villas saw the biggest pullback in activity. Importantly, this was buyers stepping back, not sellers cutting prices to move stock.

Prices told a different story to volume

While deal count cooled, the all-property median price per square foot dipped only 1.8% from its Q4 2025 peak and stayed up year-on-year throughout. Some agreed-deal prices moved a little more at the margin — Betterhomes tracked about a 7% pullback (AED 1,850 to 1,688/sqft) — but the broader DLD median held firm.

Stabilising into Q3

The June memorandum of understanding eased regional tensions, and activity has since stabilised at roughly 12-14k sales a month. Q3 2026 provisional figures show about 37,200 deals worth AED 92.6 bn — broadly steady on Q2's volume, with the market finding its footing at a calmer, more measured pace than the record run of late 2025.

Event timeline

Q4 2025Record quarter: AED 187.2 bn, 57,510 deals
28 Feb 2026Regional conflict begins; buyer sentiment turns cautious
Mar 2026Deal activity eases from record highs
May 2026Quietest month of the period, prices still holding
Jun 2026US-Iran memorandum of understanding eases regional tensions
Jul-Sep 2026Activity steadies at about 12-14k sales a month

Source: Dubai Land Department transaction data, as compiled and reported by Ananta Prime Real Estate. Figures for Q3 2026 are provisional and subject to revision as the quarter closes. This page is for general market information and is not investment advice — speak with our team for guidance on a specific purchase or sale.